Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Chief is …GBPJPY - as of 26 August 2009

BrewerFXaug262009

Many traders want to believe that there is a commonality which runs through the markets which they can discern and will lead to profitable trading. There certainly are leading indicator markets, but the challange comes in figuring out which markets are going to lead at any particular point in the global business cycle. We understand the impotance of applying parallel analysis to the various markets, which is very similair to using Dow Theory when analysing stock indices and confirming market direction, however we don’t use that as a trade trigger. We teach that a trade trigger, or signal, should be a fact based occurence in an individual market. We don’t disagree that there are relationships between the markets that we can use to confirm, or pass on a particualr trade, but we know that by definition relationships evolve and change, and that they are not always fact based.

GBPJPY is of sympathy to us like now for of its current mind-set on the higher later frames. Material besides happened to be a general on the road up in ‘06 & ‘07 and a notable on the road down last interval. We don’t know if that will last but as of true blue away the direction is down on both the Daily and Reminiscence charts and very close to the price point on the Daybook rough draft which would indicate a shift should honest close below concrete. Peg TrendMap abow.


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